Monday, June 2, 2014

Fw: Banks brace for negative rates, with ECB expected to act

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From: "CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief" <cfa@smartbrief.com>
Date: Mon, 2 Jun 2014 05:05:22 -0500 (CDT)
To: <mainandwall@yahoo.com>
Subject: Banks brace for negative rates, with ECB expected to act

Swedish leader: Lessons from financial crisis being ignored | U.K., France reportedly oppose Juncker to head European Commission | U.S. companies leverage up to fund dividends, buybacks
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02 June 2014
CFA Institute: Financial NewsBrief
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Banks brace for negative rates, with ECB expected to act
The European Central Bank is expected to trim interest rates. Among 50 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, 44 say they expect the ECB to become the first major central bank to take rates into negative territory. Bloomberg (31 May.), The Guardian (London) (01 Jun.)
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Swedish leader: Lessons from financial crisis being ignored
Regulators have "listened too much" to the powerful banking lobby, and the lessons of the financial crisis might be forgotten, said Swedish Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt. "There are financial players that are trying to reshape society in such a way that high risk-taking should be rewarded in terms of their private finances when things go well and debts should be sent the way of taxpayers when things go badly," he said. "We simply can't accept that." Bloomberg (02 Jun.)
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U.K., France reportedly oppose Juncker to head European Commission
French President Francois Hollande and British Prime Minister David Cameron oppose the selection of Jean-Claude Juncker, Luxembourg's former prime minister, as president of the European Commission, according to a German news report. Juncker said EU leaders shouldn't give in to such pressure. "Europe must not allow itself to be blackmailed," he said. EuroNews.com (France) (01 Jun.), Reuters (31 May.), France 24/Agence France-Presse/Reuters (01 Jun.)
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U.S. companies leverage up to fund dividends, buybacks
Profitable U.S. corporations with investment-grade credit ratings are taking on more debt to pay for stock buybacks and dividends, rather than for investments that might increase profit, according to The Economist. "[T]he sharp tick-up in corporate leverage ought to sound a warning to investors," the magazine notes. "It may suggest that increasing returns to shareholders are coming not from genuine growth but from stretching balance-sheets." The Economist (tiered subscription model) (31 May.)
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Chinese manufacturing activity hits 5-month high
Activity in China's manufacturing sector in May rose to its highest level since December, according to the official purchasing managers index. The benchmark was 50.8 in May, up from 50.4 in March, the National Bureau of Statistics said. Channel NewsAsia/Agence France-Presse (01 Jun.), Market News International (01 Jun.), The Telegraph (London) (tiered subscription model) (01 Jun.)
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Will Google's next conquest be in financial services?
Experts say big technology companies such as Google could well be looking to enter financial services, such as in asset management. "We think that the whole industry is ripe for technological disruption: Although they might not realize it, asset managers are essentially sitting on a silver platter ready to be stabbed," says Andrew Sheehy, an analyst at Generator Research. The Telegraph (London) (tiered subscription model) (31 May.)
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Market ActivityAdvertisement
Strong Wall Street showing boosts Asian-Pacific markets
Asian-Pacific markets posted gains Monday on the heels of records set by the Standard & Poor's 500 index and Dow Jones industrial average last week. Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 2.1%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5%. South Korea's Kospi added 0.4%. India's Sensex was up 1.9%. Markets in Hong Kong and China were closed for a holiday. CNBC (02 Jun.), The Economic Times (India) (02 Jun.)
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News stories reportedly compromised insider trading inquiry
News accounts tripped up a U.S. investigation into possible insider trading by investor Carl Icahn, sports bettor William Walters and golfer Phil Mickelson, people familiar with the matter said. Investigators were considering wiretaps to gather evidence until the matter became public, they said. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (01 Jun.), Reuters (01 Jun.)
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Did you know CFA Institute Scholarships are now available?
Applications are open for both the needs-based Access Scholarships and the merit-based Awareness Scholarships designated for key influencers in media, academia and finance. Each year CFA Institute awards over 4,600 scholarships for the CFA, CIPM, and Claritas programs. To learn more: www.cfainstitute.org/scholarships
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Economics
Home-equity loan payments could undercut consumer spending
Economists are warning that rising payments on home-equity lines of credit may become a drag on consumer spending. Many of the loans allow interest-only payments for the first 10 years, after which repayment of principal must begin. Use of the credit lines increased in the boom that preceded the financial crisis. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (01 Jun.)
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Japanese business investment posts biggest gain in 2 years
Japanese businesses' capital investment grew 7.4% in the first quarter, the sharpest jump in almost two years, the Finance Ministry said. It was the fourth quarter in a row in which businesses increased spending on buildings and equipment. GlobalPost.com/Kyodo News (01 Jun.)
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IMF allows €3.41B installment of Greek aid
After six months of negotiations with the Greek government, the board of the International Monetary Fund has approved the release of €3.41 billion in rescue funds. The amount is twice what was expected because it took so long for the IMF and Greece to agree on austerity measures, IMF spokesman Gerry Rice said. Greek Reporter blog (30 May.)
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Factors suppressing Brazil's GDP to ease, official says
Brazilian Finance Minister Guido Mantega says growth has been held down by a weak global economy, slumping demand from the U.S., inflation and currency volatility. All of those factors are reversing, so economic growth is expected to pick up, Mantega says. Market News International (30 May.)
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Survey: Traditional advisers eye digital partnerships
Traditional financial advisers, confronted by swift acceptance of Internet services, are warming to the idea of joining forces with online partners. In a Fidelity Institutional poll, 31% of registered investment advisers and broker-dealers say they intend to seek such partnerships. InvestmentNews (free registration) (30 May.)
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Geopolitical/Regulatory
ECB, BoE roll out policies to revive loan securitization
The European Central Bank and the Bank of England have proposed a broad range of measures to breathe life into the market for securitized loan portfolios. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (30 May.), Financial Times (tiered subscription model) (30 May.), MLex (subscription required) (30 May.), Financial News Online (U.K.) (subscription required) (02 Jun.)
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CFTC reportedly wants information on trading incentives
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is looking into IntercontinentalExchange Group, CME Group and other exchanges regarding incentives aimed at market participants to promote trading, a source said. The CFTC reportedly is seeking such information as it prepares to host a public meeting to examine whether the market is being negatively affected by high-frequency traders. Bloomberg (30 May.)
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Analysis: Carney's criticism is on the mark
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney's recent wide-ranging criticism of the financial sector might have come as a surprise to bankers, but it was certainly justified by facts, according to The Economist. "Though financiers may choke on their champagne at Mr Carney's remarks, he is surely right to say that 'financial capitalism is not an end in itself, but a means to promote investment, innovation, growth and prosperity,' " the magazine notes. "Where it does not, regulators like Mr Carney should be more willing to step in than they have been in the past; not after a crash has occurred, but while the boom is in full swing." The Economist (tiered subscription model) (31 May.)
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House panel backs tax break for IRA charitable donations
The U.S. House Ways and Means Committee has approved a bill to make permanent a tax deduction for gifting from conventional and Roth individual retirement accounts to charities. The measure would allow IRA owners age 70½ and older to donate as much as $100,000 without counting the distribution as taxable income. InvestmentNews (free registration) (30 May.)
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Financial Products
ProShares plans dividend and alternative-asset ETFs
ProShares has filed registration statements with the Securities and Exchange Commission for three exchange-traded funds pursuing dividend yield, as well as one investing in alternative assets. The three yield ETFs would invest in companies with a strong track record of raising dividends. The other ETF would buy shares in other ProShares alternative-asset ETFs. ETF.com (30 May.)
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Morningstar to pay $39M for the rest of HelloWallet
Morningstar says it will acquire HelloWallet Holdings, which provides online financial information and advice, for $52.5 million. The price includes $13.5 million paid previously for a minority stake. HelloWallet's mobile applications and website have gained an enthusiastic following among retirement-plan sponsors. InvestmentNews (free registration) (30 May.)
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Register now for this complimentary 12 June afternoon event in Washington, DC featuring former SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro, Richard Ketchum of FINRA, Susan Wolburgh Jenah of IIROC, and other experts.
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Sunday, June 1, 2014

Fw: Life Lessons

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From: Farnam Street Weekly <newsletter@farnamstreetblog.com>
Sender: "Farnam Street Weekly" <newsletter=farnamstreetblog.com@mail170.atl21.rsgsv.net>
Date: Sun, 1 Jun 2014 10:00:23 +0000
To: <mainandwall@yahoo.com>
ReplyTo: Farnam Street Weekly <newsletter@farnamstreetblog.com>
Subject: Life Lessons

Mastering the best of what other people have already figured out.
View this email in your browser
If you missed last week's edition —Hunter S. Thompson's letter to his friend Hume Logan on finding your purpose and living a meaningful life, Eudora Welty's fantastic cover letter to the New Yorker, Sol LeWitt on the power of "doing," and how reflection cements the learning process  —you can catch up.

Start Here

The most popular article this week was 10 Life Lessons From Admiral William H. McRaven, a Navy SEAL.

What else was interesting? 

  • The Skills of Leonardo Da Vinci — Italian polymath Leonardo da Vinci sought a job at the court of Ludovico Sforza, then the ruler of Milan. Leonardo's application letter included a ten-point list of his abilities.
  • Kurt Vonnegut's 1973 Letter to the Man Burning his Books — "If you were to bother to read my books, to behave as educated persons would, you would learn that they are not sexy, and do not argue in favor of wildness of any kind. They beg that people be kinder and more responsible than they often are. It is true that some of the characters speak coarsely."
  • The Origins of Good and Evil — What is morality? Is there an evolutionary benefit? What aspects of morality are we born with and what do we acquire?
  • Certainty Is an Illusion — "Not understanding a new technology is one thing, believing that it delivers certainty is another."
  • Rory Sutherland — This Thing For Which We Have No Name. Rory is incredible. Put aside the 50 minutes you need to watch this and you'll come away smarter. 

Something to Read

Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions
The book argues that in a world full of information and complexity sometimes our best bet is to use simple heuristics to avoid problems. Just as increasing debt rarely solves a debt problem, complex problems are rarely solved with complexity. The book is a good counter-balance to the system two rational thinking books that are becoming somewhat pervasive. Do you know how Captain Sullenberger chose to land on the Hudson after his plane hit the flock of geese on that fateful day? He used a heuristic.

The Tyranny of Experts: Economists, Dictators, and the Forgotten Rights of the Poor
An incredible read. For the longest time we've seen poverty through the lens of a 'technical problem' that requires 'expert' solutions. Well, experts have been recommending technical solutions for years and the problem doesn't seem to be getting better. These solutions address the immediate problems but all too often ignore the systemic issues that caused them in the first place. I see this same phenomenon repeated in organizations around the globe. It's a lot easier to address the immediate 'technical' problems than to solve the broader issues that cause them. An argument against "naive intervention."

See the big list of what I've been reading.

Still Curious?

+ Maya Angelou's 10 Most Memorable Quotes — The legendary poet and writer Maya Angelou died this week at her home in Winston-Salem, North Carolina. She was 86. 

+ Faking Cultural Literacy — "It's never been so easy to pretend to know so much without actually knowing anything. We pick topical, relevant bits from Facebook, Twitter or emailed news alerts, and then regurgitate them."

+ Why empires fall: from ancient Rome to Putin's Russia — "Moscow, to western eyes, does not look much like Rome. But if there is any country in the world where the tug of the Roman ideal can be felt, it is Russia."

+ I don't want to be right — "When there's no immediate threat to our understanding of the world, we change our beliefs. It's when that change contradicts something we've long held as important that problems occur."

+ Beauty does not equal truth — "Scientists prize elegant theories, but a taste for simplicity is a treacherous guide. And it doesn't even look good."

+ This column will change your life: hindsight – it's not just for past events — "Hindsight makes things look so utterly different that it's impossible, when taking a decision in the moment, even to begin to grasp how it'll strike you later on." (Pair with Daniel Kahneman's favorite approach for making better decisions.)

+ Google's Scientific Approach to Work-Life Balance (and Much More) — "for any organization, there are four steps you can take to start your own exploration and move from hunches to science."

+ Re:Think Innovation — I'm putting on a two-day workshop on how to use Farnam Street principles like curiosity, combinatory play, inversion, and uncertainty to rekindle innovation in your organization and yourself. 

+ The most popular article from last week's edition of Brain Food was: Hunter S. Thompson on Finding Your Purpose and Living a Meaningful Life

Thanks,
Shane Parrish
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