Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Fw: Thai army imposes martial law; Credit Suisse to pay US$2.6 billion fine in tax evasion case

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From: "CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief: Asia Pacific Edition" <cfa_ap@smartbrief.com>
Date: Tue, 20 May 2014 17:00:28 -0500 (CDT)
To: <mainandwall@yahoo.com>
Subject: Thai army imposes martial law; Credit Suisse to pay US$2.6 billion fine in tax evasion case

Thai army imposes martial law | Inflation heads list of issues for new India government | India central bank lays groundwork to deal with rupee run
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May 21, 2014
CFA Institute: Financial NewsBrief - Aisa Pacific Edition
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Thai army imposes martial law
Proclaiming a mission of restoring order, Thailand's army declared martial law nationwide as the caretaker government implored soldiers to refrain from violence and treat all parties equally. "The political crisis seems to have reached a tipping point," said John Blaxland, a senior fellow at the Australian National University's Strategic and Defence Studies Centre in Canberra. "The politics have gotten so toxic there aren't many viable alternatives to martial law." Bloomberg (5/20), The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (5/20), Bloomberg (5/20)
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Inflation heads list of issues for new India government
Inflation is being flagged as India's top priority as the Prime Minister's Office hands over a list of the most pressing concerns for the newly elected government. The current account deficit is another leading item in the dossier as Narendra Modi and his Bharatiya Janata Party prepare to take power. The Economic Times (India) (5/20)
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India central bank lays groundwork to deal with rupee run
India's central bank is redoubling its preparations for a possible run on the rupee as foreign investment rushes into the country on the heels of the election of a new government. The bank is building up currency reserves and laying out strategies "to prepare ourselves against any kind of storm that is going to come up," said one official. Business Standard (India)/Reuters (5/20)
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Bank sees reasons to doubt high expectations for U.S. business spending
U.S. business spending is unlikely to meet expectations of robust growth this year, the Royal Bank of Scotland says, forecasting a 4% gain for 2014, in line with last year's disappointing 4.2%. RBS questions several assumptions underlying higher projections, including a lack of incentive to tap large cash holdings and a falling rate of increase in capacity utilization. USA Today (5/19)
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IMF calls on Germany to reverse course, boost investment to aid eurozone
The German government's focus on fiscal discipline is suppressing its own growth rate and, importantly, undermining struggling economies in the eurozone, according to the International Monetary Fund. Instead, the IMF says, Berlin should work to stimulate domestic investment and spending, which would "raise medium-term output, reduce the large and persistent current-account surplus and generate appreciable positive demand spillovers to the rest of the euro area." Bloomberg Businessweek (5/19)
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Credit Suisse to pay US$2.6 billion fine in tax evasion case
Credit Suisse has agreed to pay US$2.6 billion in fines and admit guilt to resolve a long-running U.S. investigation into tax evasion by its clients. Financial Times (tiered subscription model) (5/19)
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Market Activities

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Regulatory Update
China eases rules for foreign acquisitions
China has eliminated the requirement for a full government review of overseas acquisitions by Chinese companies amounting to less than US$1 billion. The change raises the bar from the previous US$100 million limit for review and is designed to give Chinese bidders a clearer path in competition with others. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (5/19)
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South Korea regulator to closely inspect Kookmin Bank
An auditor's cautions over problems associated with a new computation system at Kookmin Bank has led South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service to announce an unprecedented full-scale inspection. "We've pointed out the problems at Kookmin Bank in separate cases so far, but now the situation has reached a point where we have to conduct a pre-emptive all-out inspection," an FSS official said. Yonhap News Agency (South Korea) (subscription required) (5/20)
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Former Westpac banker penalized for fictitious trading
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has slapped an eight-year ban on a former Westpac banker over fake trades. More than 100 fictitious trades were booked by Jeremy Kaviraj Nambiar on behalf of Westpac in 2009 and 2010, according to an ASIC investigation. The Sydney Morning Herald (Australia) (5/20)
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Economic Trends & Outlook
Australia budget frightens consumers
Australian consumers registered a sharp vote of little faith in the new government's first budget, with the ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence report revealing the steepest decline in sentiment since the financial meltdown year of 2008. The result bodes ill for consumer spending in the near term, an ANZ economist says. The Sydney Morning Herald (Australia) (5/20)
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Singapore cautiously predicts modest growth after good Q1
With better-than-expected 2.3% annualized growth recorded in the calendar first quarter, Singapore is projecting moderate growth for the full year. However, a "tighter labor market should place a cap on the manufacturing sector," said Daniel Wilson, an economist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group in Singapore. "At the margin, the gain from an externally led services rebound is still less than the gain that would accrue from an unconstrained manufacturing sector." Bloomberg Businessweek (5/19)
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Taiwan manufacturing registers small Q1 gain
Production value of Taiwan's manufacturing sector grew 0.26% in the first quarter from the year before. Automotive, machinery and electronics production were up. The Taipei Times (Taiwan) (5/20)
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Philippine balance-of-payments gap narrows
The Philippines' balance-of-payments deficit narrowed sharply in April, coming in at US$19 million after a March gap of US$340 million. For the first four months, the balance was a negative US$4.493 billion, reversing the year-earlier surplus of US$1.811 billion. Business World (Philippines) (5/19)
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Capital Markets & Financial Products
Asia bond market may be in for a rough spell
An Asian bond market that has grown rapidly due to the predominance of Chinese issuers may be in for a downturn as credit conditions tighten and China's property market slows. Financial Times (tiered subscription model) (5/20)
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China pares IPO agenda for 2014
Responding to a sinking market and fears of a share glut, China plans to allow only 100 initial public offerings from June to the end of the year. This would hold the year's total below that of 2012, before an IPO ban was instituted. The Wall Street Journal (tiered subscription model) (5/19)
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Beijing to restrict local government borrowing to bonds
Beijing plans to steer local governments away from borrowing through financing vehicles this year and restrict them largely to issuing bonds. Credit ratings will be assigned, and bond borrowing quotas will be set. Xinhuanet.com (China) (5/20)
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India equity capital markets begin to perk up
Already there are signs that India's recently moribund equity capital markets are flowering again after the election of a new government. Financial Times (tiered subscription model) (5/20)
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People & Personalities
Barclays taps Dan Miller for Hong Kong post; BNP announces promotions
Dan Miller has been appointed the new head of equity sales trading in Hong Kong for Barclays. Also, BNP Paribas has promoted three members of its cash equity team and announced plans to hire more senior equity sales managers. AsianInvestor.net (5/20)
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